Microeconomic modeling of financial time series with long term memory

Conference paper

Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2003). Microeconomic modeling of financial time series with long term memory. 2003 IEEE International Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering. Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/cifer.2003.1196260

Publication dates
Authors	Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G
Type	Conference paper
Abstract	© 2003 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works. In this paper we fix a microeconomic model of exchange rates and we give the explicit relation between model's parameters and its long memory properties. This avoids long numerical calibration procedures and allows to build the model with the parameters suitable for the required long memory degree.
Keywords	Microeconomic; Model; Long memory property
Year	2003
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)	https://doi.org/10.1109/cifer.2003.1196260
Accepted author manuscript	cifer.pdf License CC BY 4.0 File Access Level Open
Print	20 Mar 2003
Publication process dates
Submitted	20 Feb 2003
Deposited	07 Apr 2020
ISBN	0-7803-7654-4
Web address (URL) of conference proceedings	https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/1196260

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Cerqueti, R., Falbo, P., Pelizzari, C., Ricca, F. and Scozzari, A. (2017). A mixed integer linear program to compress transition probability matrices in Markov chain bootstrapping. Annals of Operations Research. 248 (1-2), pp. 163-187. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-016-2181-9

Relevant states and memory in Markov chain bootstrapping and simulation

Cerqueti, R., Falbo, P. and Pelizzari, C. (2017). Relevant states and memory in Markov chain bootstrapping and simulation. European Journal of Operational Research. 256 (1), pp. 163-177. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2016.06.006

Long-range properties and data validity for hydrogeological time series: The case of the Paglia river

Ausloos, M., Cerqueti, R. and Lupi, C. (2017). Long-range properties and data validity for hydrogeological time series: The case of the Paglia river. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 470, pp. 39-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2016.11.137

Assessing the relationship between toxicity and economic cost of oncological target agents: A systematic review of clinical trials

Tartari, F., Conti, A. and Cerqueti, R. (2017). Assessing the relationship between toxicity and economic cost of oncological target agents: A systematic review of clinical trials. PLoS ONE. 12 (8), pp. e0183639-e0183639. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0183639

Data science for assessing possible tax income manipulation: The case of Italy

Ausloos, M., Cerqueti, R. and Mir, T.A. (2017). Data science for assessing possible tax income manipulation: The case of Italy. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals. 104, pp. 238-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2017.08.012

Corruption, evasion and environmental policy: a game theory approach

Cerqueti, R. and Coppier, R. (2016). Corruption, evasion and environmental policy: a game theory approach. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 27 (2), pp. 235-253. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpu019

Religion-based urbanization process in Italy: statistical evidence from demographic and economic data

Ausloos, M. and Cerqueti, R. (2016). Religion-based urbanization process in Italy: statistical evidence from demographic and economic data. Quality & Quantity. 50 (4), pp. 1539-1565. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-015-0220-2

Optimal Investment in Research and Development Under Uncertainty

Cerqueti, R, Marazzina, D and Ventura, M (2016). Optimal Investment in Research and Development Under Uncertainty. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications. 168 (1), pp. 296-309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10957-015-0751-7

Studies on Regional Wealth Inequalities: The Case of Italy

Ausloos, M and Cerqueti, R (2016). Studies on Regional Wealth Inequalities: The Case of Italy. Acta Physica Polonica A. 129 (5), pp. 959-964. https://doi.org/10.12693/aphyspola.129.959

Regularities and discrepancies of credit default swaps: a data science approach through Benford's law

Ausloos, M., Castellano, R. and Cerqueti, R. (2016). Regularities and discrepancies of credit default swaps: a data science approach through Benford's law. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals. 90, pp. 8-17. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.03.002

Bayesian estimation and entropy for economic dynamic stochastic models: An exploration of overconsumption

Argentiero, A., Bovi, M. and Cerqueti, R. (2016). Bayesian estimation and entropy for economic dynamic stochastic models: An exploration of overconsumption. Chaos, Solitons and Fractals. 88, pp. 143-157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.03.003

Non-exchangeable copulas and multivariate total positivity

Cerqueti, R. and Lupi, C. (2016). Non-exchangeable copulas and multivariate total positivity. Information Sciences. 360, pp. 163-169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2016.04.026

Sustainable management of fossil fuels: A dynamic stochastic optimization approach with jump-diffusion

Castellano, R., Cerqueti, R. and Spinesi, L. (2016). Sustainable management of fossil fuels: A dynamic stochastic optimization approach with jump-diffusion. European Journal of Operational Research. 255 (1), pp. 288-297. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2016.04.052

Risk measures on networks and expected utility

Cerqueti, R. and Lupi, C. (2016). Risk measures on networks and expected utility. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 155, pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2016.04.017

Innovation, imitation and policy inaction

Cerqueti, R., Quaranta, A.G. and Ventura, M. (2016). Innovation, imitation and policy inaction. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 111, pp. 22-30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.06.001

Forecasting macroeconomic fundamentals in economic crises

Bovi, M. and Cerqueti, R. (2016). Forecasting macroeconomic fundamentals in economic crises. Annals of Operations Research. 247 (2), pp. 451-469. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-015-1879-4

A Universal Rank-Size Law

Ausloos, M. and Cerqueti, R. (2016). A Universal Rank-Size Law. PLoS ONE. 11 (11). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0166011

A theory of misperception in a stochastic dominance framework and its application to structured financial products

Castellano, R. and Cerqueti, R. (2016). A theory of misperception in a stochastic dominance framework and its application to structured financial products. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 29 (1), pp. 23-37. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpw007

A game for exploring political and bureaucratic corruption

Cerqueti, R. and Coppier, R. (2016). A game for exploring political and bureaucratic corruption. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 29 (2), pp. 151-173. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpw017

Signatures of systems with non-exchangeable lifetimes: some implications in the analysis of financial risk

Cerqueti, R and Spizzichino, F. (2015). Signatures of systems with non-exchangeable lifetimes: some implications in the analysis of financial risk. in: Kitzos, C (ed.) Springer Proceedingsin Mathematics & Statistics Springer.

Approximating Markov Chains for Bootstrapping and Simulation

Cerqueti, R., Falbo, P., Guastaroba, G. and Pelizzari, C. (2015). Approximating Markov Chains for Bootstrapping and Simulation. in: Steland, A (ed.) Stochastic Models, Statistics and Their Applications,Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics Switzerland Springer.

The impact of innovation on companies’ performance: an entropy-based analysis of the STAR market segment of the Italian Stock Exchange

Bartolacci, F., Castellano, N.G. and Cerqueti, R. (2015). The impact of innovation on companies’ performance: an entropy-based analysis of the STAR market segment of the Italian Stock Exchange. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management. 27 (1), pp. 102-123. https://doi.org/10.1080/09537325.2014.952624

Patent Valuation under Spatial Point Processes with Delayed and Decreasing Jump Intensity

Cerqueti, R. and Ventura, M. (2015). Patent Valuation under Spatial Point Processes with Delayed and Decreasing Jump Intensity. The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics. 15 (2). https://doi.org/10.1515/bejte-2013-0104

Risk and uncertainty in the patent race: a probabilistic model

Cerqueti, R and Ventura, M (2015). Risk and uncertainty in the patent race: a probabilistic model. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics. 26 (1), pp. 39-62. https://doi.org/10.1093/imaman/dpt020

On the coexistence of innovators and imitators

Cerqueti, R., Tramontana, F. and Ventura, M. (2015). On the coexistence of innovators and imitators. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 90 (B), pp. 487-496. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.03.011

A review of aggregation techniques for agent-based models: understanding the presence of long-term memory

Cerqueti, R. and Rotundo, G. (2015). A review of aggregation techniques for agent-based models: understanding the presence of long-term memory. Quality & Quantity. 49 (4), pp. 1693-1717. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-014-9995-9

Evidence of economic regularities and disparities of Italian regions from aggregated tax income size data

Cerqueti, R. and Ausloos, M. (2015). Evidence of economic regularities and disparities of Italian regions from aggregated tax income size data. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 421, pp. 187-207. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2014.11.027

Corruptibility and tax evasion

Cerqueti, R. and Coppier, R. (2015). Corruptibility and tax evasion. European Journal of Law and Economics. 39 (2), pp. 355-373. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10657-013-9406-z

Approximating multivariate Markov chains for bootstrapping through contiguous partitions

Cerqueti, R., Falbo, P., Guastaroba, G. and Pelizzari, C. (2015). Approximating multivariate Markov chains for bootstrapping through contiguous partitions. OR Spectrum. 37 (3), pp. 803-841. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00291-015-0397-8

Socio-economical analysis of Italy: The case of hagiotoponym cities

Cerqueti, R. and Ausloos, M. (2015). Socio-economical analysis of Italy: The case of hagiotoponym cities. The Social Science Journal. 52 (4), pp. 561-564. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soscij.2015.03.004

Cross ranking of cities and regions: population versus income

Cerqueti, R. and Ausloos, M. (2015). Cross ranking of cities and regions: population versus income. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment. 2015 (7), pp. P07002-P07002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2015/07/p07002

A disutility-based drift control for exchange rates

Castellano, R, Cerqueti, R and D'Ecclesia, R. L (2014). A disutility-based drift control for exchange rates. Optimization. 63 (2), pp. 255-269. https://doi.org/10.1080/02331934.2011.641016

A quantitative view on policymakers’ goal, institutions and tax evasion

Bovi, M and Cerqueti, R (2014). A quantitative view on policymakers’ goal, institutions and tax evasion. Quality & Quantity. 48 (3), pp. 1493-1510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-013-9849-x

Mean–Variance portfolio selection in presence of infrequently traded stocks

Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2014). Mean–Variance portfolio selection in presence of infrequently traded stocks. European Journal of Operational Research. 234 (2), pp. 442-449. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2013.04.024

Exhaustion of resources: a marked temporal process framework

Cerqueti, R (2014). Exhaustion of resources: a marked temporal process framework. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 28 (4), pp. 1023-1033. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-013-0798-7

Symmetries of systems with spatially bounded domains

Cerqueti, R and Sarnari, F (2014). Symmetries of systems with spatially bounded domains. Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems. 6 (1), pp. 11-25.

Benford’s law predicted digit distribution of aggregated income taxes: the surprising conformity of Italian cities and regions

Mir, T. A, Ausloos, M and Cerqueti, R (2014). Benford’s law predicted digit distribution of aggregated income taxes: the surprising conformity of Italian cities and regions. The European Physical Journal B. 87 (11). https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2014-50525-2

New results on the convergence of random matrices

Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2013). New results on the convergence of random matrices. Statistics. 47 (4), pp. 663-671. https://doi.org/10.1080/02331888.2011.648639

Roots and effects of financial misperception in a stochastic dominance framework

Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2013). Roots and effects of financial misperception in a stochastic dominance framework. Quality & Quantity. 47 (6), pp. 3371-3389. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-012-9726-z

Extension of dependence properties to semi-copulas and applications to the mean–variance model

Cerqueti, R and Spizzichino, F (2013). Extension of dependence properties to semi-copulas and applications to the mean–variance model. Fuzzy Sets and Systems. 220, pp. 99-108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fss.2012.08.011

A Tabu Search heuristic procedure in Markov chain bootstrapping

Cerqueti, R, Falbo, P, Guastaroba, G and Pelizzari, C (2013). A Tabu Search heuristic procedure in Markov chain bootstrapping. European Journal of Operational Research. 227 (2), pp. 367-384. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.11.009

Economic interactions and social tolerance: A dynamic perspective

Cerqueti, R, Correani, L and Garofalo, G (2013). Economic interactions and social tolerance: A dynamic perspective. Economics Letters. 120 (3), pp. 458-463. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2013.05.032

Illegal finance and usurers behaviour

Barone, R, Cerqueti, R and Quaranta, A. G. (2012). Illegal finance and usurers behaviour. European Journal of Law and Economics. 34 (2), pp. 265-277. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10657-010-9183-x

The perspective of a bank in granting credits: an optimization model

Cerqueti, R and Quaranta, A. G (2012). The perspective of a bank in granting credits: an optimization model. Optimization Letters. 6 (5), pp. 867-882. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11590-011-0310-6

Financing policies via stochastic control: a dynamic programming approach

Cerqueti, R (2012). Financing policies via stochastic control: a dynamic programming approach. Journal of Global Optimization. 53 (3), pp. 539-561. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10898-011-9725-y

The role of diversity in persistence aggregation

Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2012). The role of diversity in persistence aggregation. International Journal of Intelligent Systems. 27 (2), pp. 176-187. https://doi.org/10.1002/int.21519

Corruption, growth and ethnic fractionalization: a theoretical model

Cerqueti, R, Coppier, R and Piga, G (2012). Corruption, growth and ethnic fractionalization: a theoretical model. Journal of Economics. 106 (2), pp. 153-181. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00712-011-0253-5

Optimal consumption/investment problem with light stocks: A mixed continuous-discrete time approach

Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2012). Optimal consumption/investment problem with light stocks: A mixed continuous-discrete time approach. Applied Mathematics and Computation. 218 (12), pp. 6887-6898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2011.12.065

Why is the Tax Evasion so Persistent?

Cerqueti, R and Bovi, M (2011). Why is the Tax Evasion so Persistent? in: Tavidze, A (ed.) Progress in Economics Nova Science Publishers, Inc..

The optimal bid/ask spread in a Specialist System

Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2011). The optimal bid/ask spread in a Specialist System. Economic Modelling. 28 (5), pp. 2247-2253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2011.06.019

Economic growth, corruption and tax evasion

Cerqueti, R and Coppier, R (2011). Economic growth, corruption and tax evasion. Economic Modelling. 28 (1-2), pp. 489-500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2010.07.006

Testing for rational bubbles in the presence of structural breaks: Evidence from nonstationary panels

Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2011). Testing for rational bubbles in the presence of structural breaks: Evidence from nonstationary panels. Journal of Banking & Finance. 35 (10), pp. 2598-2605. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.02.011

Memory Property in Heterogeneously Populated Markets

Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2010). Memory Property in Heterogeneously Populated Markets. in: Greco, S, Marques Pereira, RA, Squillante, M, Yager, RR and Kacprzyk, J (ed.) Preferences and Decisions - Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing Berlin Springer. pp. 53-69

Firms clustering in presence of technological renewal processes

Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2010). Firms clustering in presence of technological renewal processes. in: Puu, T and Panchuk, A (ed.) Nonlinear economic dynamics Nova Science Publishers, Inc..

Light Stocks and Wealth Allocation

Cerqueti, R and Castellano, R (2010). Light Stocks and Wealth Allocation. in: Kasımbeyli, R, Dinçer, C, Özpeynirci, S and Sakalauskas, L (ed.) 24th mini euro conference on continuous optimization and information based technologies in the financial sector - MEC EUROPT 2010: selected papers Vilnius "Technika".

Some Nonparametric Asymptotic Results for a Class of Stochastic Processes

Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2010). Some Nonparametric Asymptotic Results for a Class of Stochastic Processes. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods. 39 (14), pp. 2552-2560. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610920903061021

Options with underlying asset driven by a fractional brownian motion: crossing barriers estimates

Rotundo, G and Cerqueti, R (2010). Options with underlying asset driven by a fractional brownian motion: crossing barriers estimates. New Mathematics and Natural Computation. 06 (01), pp. 109-118. https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793005710001633

A Dynamic Stochastic Model of Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs

Brianzoni, S, Cerqueti, R and Michetti, E (2010). A Dynamic Stochastic Model of Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs. Computational Economics. 35 (2), pp. 165-188. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-009-9189-z

A Characterization of the Dickey-Fuller Distribution With Some Extensions to the Multivariate Case

Cerqueti, R, Costantini, M and Lupi, C (2009). A Characterization of the Dickey-Fuller Distribution With Some Extensions to the Multivariate Case. in: Martinez, WL (ed.) Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meeting (Business and Economic Statistics Section), 1-6 August 2009, Washington DC, USA American Statistical Association.

Dynamic Programming via Measurable Selection

Cerqueti, R (2009). Dynamic Programming via Measurable Selection. Pacific Journal of Optimization. 5 (1), pp. 169-181.

Tax revenues, fiscal corruption and “shame” costs

Cerqueti, R and Coppier, R (2009). Tax revenues, fiscal corruption and “shame” costs. Economic Modelling. 26 (6), pp. 1239-1244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2009.06.005

A spatial mixed Poisson framework for combination of excess-of-loss and proportional reinsurance contracts

Cerqueti, R, Foschi, R and Spizzichino, F (2009). A spatial mixed Poisson framework for combination of excess-of-loss and proportional reinsurance contracts. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 45 (1), pp. 59-64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.03.001