A disutility-based drift control for exchange rates

Journal article

Castellano, R, Cerqueti, R and D'Ecclesia, R. L (2014). A disutility-based drift control for exchange rates. Optimization. 63 (2), pp. 255-269. https://doi.org/10.1080/02331934.2011.641016
AuthorsCastellano, R, Cerqueti, R and D'Ecclesia, R. L
Abstract

In this paper we propose an exchange rate model as solution of a disutility based drift control problem. Given the exchange rate is a function of the fundamental, we assume Government Authorities control the fundamental dynamics aimed at minimizing the discounted expected disutility caused by the distance between the fundamental and some specific target. The theoretical model is solved using the
dynamic programming approach and introducing the concept of viscosity solution. We contribute to research on exchange rate control policies by deriving the optimal interventions aimed at stabilizing the exchange rate and preserving macroeconomic stability. We also show that, under particular conditions, it is possible to derive the optimal
width of the currency band.

This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Optimization on 06 January 2012, available online: http://www.tandfonline.com/10.1080/02331934.2011.641016

KeywordsDrift control; Dynamic programming; Viscosity solutions; Stabilization policies; Exchange rates
Year2014
JournalOptimization
Journal citation63 (2), pp. 255-269
PublisherInforma UK Limited
ISSN0233-1934
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1080/02331934.2011.641016
Publication dates
PrintFeb 2014
Online06 Jan 2012
Publication process dates
Accepted08 Nov 2011
Deposited01 Apr 2020
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Approximating multivariate Markov chains for bootstrapping through contiguous partitions
Cerqueti, R., Falbo, P., Guastaroba, G. and Pelizzari, C. (2015). Approximating multivariate Markov chains for bootstrapping through contiguous partitions. OR Spectrum. 37 (3), pp. 803-841. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00291-015-0397-8
Socio-economical analysis of Italy: The case of hagiotoponym cities
Cerqueti, R. and Ausloos, M. (2015). Socio-economical analysis of Italy: The case of hagiotoponym cities. The Social Science Journal. 52 (4), pp. 561-564. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.soscij.2015.03.004
Cross ranking of cities and regions: population versus income
Cerqueti, R. and Ausloos, M. (2015). Cross ranking of cities and regions: population versus income. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment. 2015 (7), pp. P07002-P07002. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2015/07/p07002
A quantitative view on policymakers’ goal, institutions and tax evasion
Bovi, M and Cerqueti, R (2014). A quantitative view on policymakers’ goal, institutions and tax evasion. Quality & Quantity. 48 (3), pp. 1493-1510. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-013-9849-x
Mean–Variance portfolio selection in presence of infrequently traded stocks
Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2014). Mean–Variance portfolio selection in presence of infrequently traded stocks. European Journal of Operational Research. 234 (2), pp. 442-449. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2013.04.024
Exhaustion of resources: a marked temporal process framework
Cerqueti, R (2014). Exhaustion of resources: a marked temporal process framework. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment. 28 (4), pp. 1023-1033. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-013-0798-7
Symmetries of systems with spatially bounded domains
Cerqueti, R and Sarnari, F (2014). Symmetries of systems with spatially bounded domains. Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems. 6 (1), pp. 11-25.
Benford’s law predicted digit distribution of aggregated income taxes: the surprising conformity of Italian cities and regions
Mir, T. A, Ausloos, M and Cerqueti, R (2014). Benford’s law predicted digit distribution of aggregated income taxes: the surprising conformity of Italian cities and regions. The European Physical Journal B. 87 (11). https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2014-50525-2
New results on the convergence of random matrices
Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2013). New results on the convergence of random matrices. Statistics. 47 (4), pp. 663-671. https://doi.org/10.1080/02331888.2011.648639
Roots and effects of financial misperception in a stochastic dominance framework
Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2013). Roots and effects of financial misperception in a stochastic dominance framework. Quality & Quantity. 47 (6), pp. 3371-3389. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-012-9726-z
Extension of dependence properties to semi-copulas and applications to the mean–variance model
Cerqueti, R and Spizzichino, F (2013). Extension of dependence properties to semi-copulas and applications to the mean–variance model. Fuzzy Sets and Systems. 220, pp. 99-108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fss.2012.08.011
A Tabu Search heuristic procedure in Markov chain bootstrapping
Cerqueti, R, Falbo, P, Guastaroba, G and Pelizzari, C (2013). A Tabu Search heuristic procedure in Markov chain bootstrapping. European Journal of Operational Research. 227 (2), pp. 367-384. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2012.11.009
Economic interactions and social tolerance: A dynamic perspective
Cerqueti, R, Correani, L and Garofalo, G (2013). Economic interactions and social tolerance: A dynamic perspective. Economics Letters. 120 (3), pp. 458-463. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2013.05.032
Illegal finance and usurers behaviour
Barone, R, Cerqueti, R and Quaranta, A. G. (2012). Illegal finance and usurers behaviour. European Journal of Law and Economics. 34 (2), pp. 265-277. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10657-010-9183-x
The perspective of a bank in granting credits: an optimization model
Cerqueti, R and Quaranta, A. G (2012). The perspective of a bank in granting credits: an optimization model. Optimization Letters. 6 (5), pp. 867-882. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11590-011-0310-6
Financing policies via stochastic control: a dynamic programming approach
Cerqueti, R (2012). Financing policies via stochastic control: a dynamic programming approach. Journal of Global Optimization. 53 (3), pp. 539-561. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10898-011-9725-y
The role of diversity in persistence aggregation
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2012). The role of diversity in persistence aggregation. International Journal of Intelligent Systems. 27 (2), pp. 176-187. https://doi.org/10.1002/int.21519
Corruption, growth and ethnic fractionalization: a theoretical model
Cerqueti, R, Coppier, R and Piga, G (2012). Corruption, growth and ethnic fractionalization: a theoretical model. Journal of Economics. 106 (2), pp. 153-181. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00712-011-0253-5
Optimal consumption/investment problem with light stocks: A mixed continuous-discrete time approach
Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2012). Optimal consumption/investment problem with light stocks: A mixed continuous-discrete time approach. Applied Mathematics and Computation. 218 (12), pp. 6887-6898. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2011.12.065
Why is the Tax Evasion so Persistent?
Cerqueti, R and Bovi, M (2011). Why is the Tax Evasion so Persistent? in: Tavidze, A (ed.) Progress in Economics Nova Science Publishers, Inc..
The optimal bid/ask spread in a Specialist System
Castellano, R and Cerqueti, R (2011). The optimal bid/ask spread in a Specialist System. Economic Modelling. 28 (5), pp. 2247-2253. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2011.06.019
Economic growth, corruption and tax evasion
Cerqueti, R and Coppier, R (2011). Economic growth, corruption and tax evasion. Economic Modelling. 28 (1-2), pp. 489-500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2010.07.006
Testing for rational bubbles in the presence of structural breaks: Evidence from nonstationary panels
Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2011). Testing for rational bubbles in the presence of structural breaks: Evidence from nonstationary panels. Journal of Banking & Finance. 35 (10), pp. 2598-2605. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2011.02.011
Memory Property in Heterogeneously Populated Markets
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2010). Memory Property in Heterogeneously Populated Markets. in: Greco, S, Marques Pereira, RA, Squillante, M, Yager, RR and Kacprzyk, J (ed.) Preferences and Decisions - Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing Berlin Springer Verlag. pp. 53-69
Firms clustering in presence of technological renewal processes
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2010). Firms clustering in presence of technological renewal processes. in: Puu, T and Panchuk, A (ed.) Nonlinear economic dynamics Nova Science Publishers, Inc..
Light Stocks and Wealth Allocation
Cerqueti, R and Castellano, R (2010). Light Stocks and Wealth Allocation. in: Kasımbeyli, R, Dinçer, C, Özpeynirci, S and Sakalauskas, L (ed.) 24th mini euro conference on continuous optimization and information based technologies in the financial sector - MEC EUROPT 2010: selected papers Vilnius "Technika".
Some Nonparametric Asymptotic Results for a Class of Stochastic Processes
Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2010). Some Nonparametric Asymptotic Results for a Class of Stochastic Processes. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods. 39 (14), pp. 2552-2560. https://doi.org/10.1080/03610920903061021
Options with underlying asset driven by a fractional brownian motion: crossing barriers estimates
Rotundo, G and Cerqueti, R (2010). Options with underlying asset driven by a fractional brownian motion: crossing barriers estimates. New Mathematics and Natural Computation. 06 (01), pp. 109-118. https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793005710001633
A Dynamic Stochastic Model of Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs
Brianzoni, S, Cerqueti, R and Michetti, E (2010). A Dynamic Stochastic Model of Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Beliefs. Computational Economics. 35 (2), pp. 165-188. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-009-9189-z
A Characterization of the Dickey-Fuller Distribution With Some Extensions to the Multivariate Case
Cerqueti, R, Costantini, M and Lupi, C (2009). A Characterization of the Dickey-Fuller Distribution With Some Extensions to the Multivariate Case. in: Martinez, WL (ed.) Proceedings of the Joint Statistical Meeting (Business and Economic Statistics Section), 1-6 August 2009, Washington DC, USA American Statistical Association.
Dynamic Programming via Measurable Selection
Cerqueti, R (2009). Dynamic Programming via Measurable Selection. Pacific Journal of Optimization. 5 (1), pp. 169-181.
Tax revenues, fiscal corruption and “shame” costs
Cerqueti, R and Coppier, R (2009). Tax revenues, fiscal corruption and “shame” costs. Economic Modelling. 26 (6), pp. 1239-1244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2009.06.005
A spatial mixed Poisson framework for combination of excess-of-loss and proportional reinsurance contracts
Cerqueti, R, Foschi, R and Spizzichino, F (2009). A spatial mixed Poisson framework for combination of excess-of-loss and proportional reinsurance contracts. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics. 45 (1), pp. 59-64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2009.03.001
Companies' decisions for profit maximization: a structural model
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G. (2009). Companies' decisions for profit maximization: a structural model. Applied Mathematical Sciences. 3 (27), pp. 1327-1340.
Asymptotic solutions of a generalized eigenvalue problem
Cerqueti, R. and Costantini, M. (2009). Asymptotic solutions of a generalized eigenvalue problem. Applied Mathematical Sciences. 3 (60), pp. 2985-2999.
On the asymptotic behaviour of random matrices in a multivariate statistical model
Cerqueti, R and Costantini, M (2008). On the asymptotic behaviour of random matrices in a multivariate statistical model. Statistics & Probability Letters. 78 (14), pp. 2039-2045. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2008.01.051
Dynamics of financial time series in an inhomogeneous framework
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2007). Dynamics of financial time series in an inhomogeneous framework. in: Sibillo, M and Perna, C (ed.) Mathematical and statistical methods in insurance and finance Berlin Springer Verlag. pp. 67-74
Productivity and costs for firms in presence of technology renewal processes
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2007). Productivity and costs for firms in presence of technology renewal processes. International Transactions in Operational Research. 14 (6), pp. 521-534. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-3995.2007.00611.x
Microeconomic modeling of financial time series with long term memory
Cerqueti, R and Rotundo, G (2003). Microeconomic modeling of financial time series with long term memory. 2003 IEEE International Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering. Proceedings. IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/cifer.2003.1196260