Power Grid Frequency Forecasting from μPMU Data using Hybrid Vector-Output LSTM network

Conference paper

Dey, M., Wickramarachchi, D., Rana, S.P., Simmons, .C.V and Dudley, S. (2023). Power Grid Frequency Forecasting from μPMU Data using Hybrid Vector-Output LSTM network. 2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe (ISGT EUROPE). 23 - 26 Oct 2023 IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISGTEUROPE56780.2023.10408056
AuthorsDey, M., Wickramarachchi, D., Rana, S.P., Simmons, .C.V and Dudley, S.
TypeConference paper
Abstract

The instantaneous balance of electrical supply and
demand on the power grid is indicated by the power grid
frequency, making it a pivotal variable for power system controls.
Accurate frequency forecasting could enable new faster means of frequency management that enhance power system stability. A hybrid vector-output Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural
network has been studied using microsynchrophasor data to
predict trajectories. The objective of this research is to evaluate the effectiveness of very short time horizon frequency prediction using this method. The proposed model has been trained with over and under-frequency operational limit excursion events as well as normal condition state, with the goal of minimising prediction errors. Training and testing have been conducted using 390,000 datapoints covering 65 frequency events obtained from a distribution grid connected solar farm in England. The results demonstrate this method can provide useful grid frequency projections and shed light on underlying behaviour.
Index Terms—Electrical grid frequency, power system stability, time series forecasting, long short term memory

Year2023
Journal2023 IEEE PES Innovative Smart Grid Technologies Europe (ISGT EUROPE)
PublisherIEEE
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1109/ISGTEUROPE56780.2023.10408056
Accepted author manuscript
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Open
Publication dates
Print23 Oct 2023
Online30 Jan 2023
Publication process dates
Deposited21 Feb 2024
Book titlehttps://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/conhome/10406304/proceeding
ISBN979-8-3503-9678-2
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https://openresearch.lsbu.ac.uk/item/96675

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Dudley, S, Dey, M and Rana, S. (2018). Semi-Supervised Learning Techniques for Automated Fault Detection and Diagnosis of HVAC System. IEEE International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence (ICTAI-2018). Volos, Greece 05 - 07 Nov 2018
Automated Peripheral Neuropathy Assessment using Optical Imaging and Foot Anthropometry
Dudley, S, Siddiqui, H, Alty, SR and Spruce, M (2015). Automated Peripheral Neuropathy Assessment using Optical Imaging and Foot Anthropometry. IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering. 62 (8), pp. 1911-1917. https://doi.org/10.1109/TBME.2015.2407056
Automated Semmes Weinstein monofilament examination replication using optical imaging and mechanical probe assembly
Dudley, S, Siddiqui, H, Alty, SR and Spruce, M (2015). Automated Semmes Weinstein monofilament examination replication using optical imaging and mechanical probe assembly. 12th International Symposium on Biomedical Imaging (ISBI). Brooklyn, USA 16 - 19 Apr 2015 London South Bank University. https://doi.org/10.1109/ISBI.2015.7163933
Experimental vital signs estimation using commercially available IR-UWB radar
Adjrad, M, Dudley, S and Ghavami, M (2014). Experimental vital signs estimation using commercially available IR-UWB radar. Radar Conference. Lille 13 - 17 Oct 2014 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/RADAR.2014.7060328
Human Behaviour Model Combining Multiple Sensors
Liao, Z, Buchanan, K, Ghavami, N, Vastardis, N, Adjrad, M, Koch, C, Ghavami, M, Anderson, B, Yang, K, Russo, R and Dudley, S (2015). Human Behaviour Model Combining Multiple Sensors. Conference of the eceee 2015 Summer Study on energy efficiency. Presqu’île de Giens Toulon/Hyères, France 01 - 06 Jun 2015 London South Bank University.
A new approach for event detection using k-means clustering and neural networks.
Oladimeji, MO, Turkey, M, Ghavami, M and Dudley, S (2015). A new approach for event detection using k-means clustering and neural networks. 2015 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN). Killarney Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). pp. 1 - 5 https://doi.org/10.1109/IJCNN.2015.7280752
A PID inspired feature extraction method for HVAC terminal units
Dey, M., Gupta, M., Rana, S., Turkey, M. and Dudley-Mcevoy, S. (2017). A PID inspired feature extraction method for HVAC terminal units. IEEE Conference on Technologies for Sustainability (SusTech 2017). Phoenix, Arizona, USA 12 - 14 Nov 2017 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/sustech.2017.8333470
Occupancy based household energy disaggregation using ultra wideband radar and electrical signature profiles
Brown, R., Ghavami, N., Siddiqui, H., Adjrad, M., Ghavami, M. and Dudley-Mcevoy, S. (2017). Occupancy based household energy disaggregation using ultra wideband radar and electrical signature profiles. Energy and Buildings. 141, pp. 134-141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.02.004
HACH: Heuristic Algorithm for Clustering Hierarchy Protocol in Wireless Sensor Network
Dudley, S, Turkey, M and Oladimeji, M. (2017). HACH: Heuristic Algorithm for Clustering Hierarchy Protocol in Wireless Sensor Network. Applied Soft Computing. 55, pp. 452-461. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2017.02.016
Experimental Validation of a Thirteen Level H-Bridge Photovoltaic Inverter Configuration
Dudley, S, Loukriz, A and Quinlan, T (2017). Experimental Validation of a Thirteen Level H-Bridge Photovoltaic Inverter Configuration. IEEE EEEIC17 and I&CPS Europe. Milan, Italy 06 - 09 Jun 2017 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Unsupervised Learning Techniques for HVAC Terminal Unit Behaviour Analysis
Dey, M, Gupta, M, Turkey, M and Dudley, S (2017). Unsupervised Learning Techniques for HVAC Terminal Unit Behaviour Analysis. IEEE International Conference on Smart City Innovations. Fremont, California, USA 04 - 08 Aug 2017 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/UIC-ATC.2017.8397584
UWB Localization Employing Supervised Learning Method
Rana, S., Dey, M., Siddiqui, H., Tiberi, G., Ghavami, M. and Dudley, S (2017). UWB Localization Employing Supervised Learning Method. IEEE International Conference on Ubiquitous Wireless Broadband 2017. Salamanca, Spain 12 - 15 Sep 2017 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/ICUWB.2017.8250971
A PID Inspired Feature Extraction for HVAC Terminal Units
Dey, M, Gupta, M, Rana, S., Turkey, M and Dudley, S (2017). A PID Inspired Feature Extraction for HVAC Terminal Units. IEEE Conference on Technologies for Sustainability (SusTech 2017). Phoenix, Arizona, USA 12 - 14 Nov 2017 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Adaptive robust video broadcast via satellite
Altaf, M, Khan, FA, Khan, N, Ghanbari, M and Dudley, S (2016). Adaptive robust video broadcast via satellite. Multimedia Tools and Applications. 76 (6), pp. 7785-7801. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11042-016-3426-y
Experimental Realization of a Single-Phase Five Level Inverter for PV Applications
Loukriz, A, Dudley, S, Quinlan, T and Walker, S (2016). Experimental Realization of a Single-Phase Five Level Inverter for PV Applications. IEEE Workshop on Control and Modeling for Power Electronics (COMPEL) 2016. Trondheim, Norway 27 - 30 Jun 2016 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Huygens Principle based UWB Microwave Imaging Method for Skin Cancer Detection
Ghavami, N, Tiberi, G, Ghavami, M, Dudley, S and Lane, ME (2016). Huygens Principle based UWB Microwave Imaging Method for Skin Cancer Detection. 10th IEEE/IET International Symposium on Communication Systems, Networks and Digital Signal Processing. Prague, Czech Republic 20 - 22 Jul 2016 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE).
Iterated Local Search Algorithm for Clustering Wireless Sensor Networks.
Dudley, S, Oladimeji, MO and Turkey, M (2016). Iterated Local Search Algorithm for Clustering Wireless Sensor Networks. 2016 IEEE Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC). Vancouver, Canada 24 - 29 Jul 2016 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/CEC.2016.7744200
Development of a Wall Climbing Robotic Ground Penetrating Radar System for Inspection of Vertical Concrete Structures
Sattar, TP, Howlader, MOF and Dudley, S (2016). Development of a Wall Climbing Robotic Ground Penetrating Radar System for Inspection of Vertical Concrete Structures. International Journal of Mechanical, Aerospace, Industrial, Mechatronic and Manufacturing Engineering. 10 (8), pp. 1346-1352.
A heuristic crossover enhanced evolutionary algorithm for clustering wireless sensor network
Oladimeji, MO, Turkey, M and Dudley, S (2016). A heuristic crossover enhanced evolutionary algorithm for clustering wireless sensor network. EvoApplications Evostar 2016. Porto, Portugal 30 Mar - 01 Apr 2016 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-31204-0_17
A novel single-phase thirteen level inverter for photovoltaic application
Loukriz, A, Dudley, S, Messalti, S, Quinlan, T, Loukriz, A and Walker, S (2016). A novel single-phase thirteen level inverter for photovoltaic application. 8th International Conference on Modelling, Identification and Control (ICMIC-2016). Algiers, Algeria- November 15-17, 2016 15 - 17 Nov 2016 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). pp. 532-537 https://doi.org/10.1109/ICMIC.2016.7804170
A user-centric system architecture for residential energy consumption reduction
Vastardis, N, Adjrad, M, Buchanan, K, Liao, Z, Koch, C, Russo, R, Yang, K, Ghavami, M, Anderson, B and Dudley, S (2014). A user-centric system architecture for residential energy consumption reduction. IEEE Online Conference on Green Communications. Online 12 - 14 Nov 2014 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). pp. 1-7 https://doi.org/10.1109/OnlineGreenCom.2014.7114423