Limits and uncertainty for energy efficiency in the UK housing stock

Journal article

Gillich, A., Mahmoudi Saber, E. and Mohareb, E. (2019). Limits and uncertainty for energy efficiency in the UK housing stock. Energy Policy. 133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110889
AuthorsGillich, A., Mahmoudi Saber, E. and Mohareb, E.
Abstract

The UK government's Clean Growth Strategy unambiguously described the decarbonisation of heat as the UK's greatest policy and technical challenge in meeting our carbon targets. Maximising the potential for energy efficiency in the existing domestic stock is critical to the low-carbon heat transition. Good information exists on the technical potential for energy efficiency measures in the UK stock, however, a lack of knowledge about current stock conditions and in-use factors places considerable uncertainty on how much of this technical potential is achievable in practice.

This study uses data from the fifth carbon budget (CB5) policy projections and updates the in-use factors using measured data from the National Energy Efficiency Database (NEED). This results in a 26% shortfall by 2035 in the anticipated energy savings through cavity, solid wall, and loft insulation compared to what is assumed in the CB5 projections. This will have costly implications for meeting future carbon budgets. Risks and policy implications are discussed. The practical potential for energy efficiency measures beyond cavity, solid wall, and loft insulation is explored.

Year2019
JournalEnergy Policy
Journal citation133
PublisherElsevier
ISSN0301-4215
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110889
Web address (URL)https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421519304677?via%3Dihub
Publication dates
Online26 Jul 2019
Print01 Oct 2019
Publication process dates
Accepted18 Jul 2019
Deposited21 Aug 2019
Accepted author manuscript
License
File Access Level
Open
Permalink -

https://openresearch.lsbu.ac.uk/item/87y38

Download files

Accepted author manuscript
20190717 Limits for Energy Efficiency_manuscript_revised.docx
License: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
File access level: Open

  • 167
    total views
  • 22
    total downloads
  • 0
    views this month
  • 0
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Time-of-Use Tariff with Local Wind Generation
Estebsari, A., Gillich, A. and Rajabi, R. (2023). Time-of-Use Tariff with Local Wind Generation. IEEE 23rd International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering (EEEIC). Madrid 06 - 09 Jun 2023 Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/EEEIC/ICPSEurope57605.2023.10194842
Participation in domestic energy retrofit programmes: key spatio-temporal drivers
Mohareb, E., Gillich, A. and Bristow, D. (2022). Participation in domestic energy retrofit programmes: key spatio-temporal drivers. Buildings and Cities. 3 (1), pp. 356-375. https://doi.org/10.5334/bc.202
Comparison of Real-world Data with Simulated Results to Enhance Building Thermal Retention when using Shading Devices
Salehi, B., Andrews, D., Chaer, I., Newton, E. and Gillich, A. (2022). Comparison of Real-world Data with Simulated Results to Enhance Building Thermal Retention when using Shading Devices . CIBSE Technical Symposium 2022. London South Bank University 21 - 22 Apr 2022
Developing a circular economy in recycled polymer construction materials
McCann, F., Sultan, S., John, H., Udeaja, C., Jin, R., Rossi, F. and Gillich, A. (2021). Developing a circular economy in recycled polymer construction materials. Proceedings of Centre for the Integrated Delivery of the Built Environment (IDoBE) on Uncertainties in the Built Environment: How can we build a resilient future in the new normal?. . LSBU, London. UK 21 - 23 Nov 2021 London South Bank University.
Performance analysis for the UK's first 5th generation heat network – The BEN case study at LSBU
Gillich, A., Godefroy, J., Ford, A., Hewitt, M. and L'Hostis, J. (2021). Performance analysis for the UK's first 5th generation heat network – The BEN case study at LSBU. Energy. 243 (122843). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122843
Enabling local rapid change solutions to the Climate Emergency
Palmer, P., Gillich, A. and Redmond, S. (2021). Enabling local rapid change solutions to the Climate Emergency. European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (ECEEE) Summer Study. Hyeres, France 29 May - 03 Jun 2017
Opportunities to decarbonize heat in the UK using Urban Wastewater Heat Recovery
Ali, S. and Gillich, A. (2021). Opportunities to decarbonize heat in the UK using Urban Wastewater Heat Recovery. Building Services Engineering Research and Technology. https://doi.org/10.1177/01436244211034739
Review of Intelligent Control Systems for Natural Ventilation as Passive Cooling Strategy for UK Buildings and Similar Climatic Conditions
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Chaer, I., Gillich, A. and Ekpeti, B. (2021). Review of Intelligent Control Systems for Natural Ventilation as Passive Cooling Strategy for UK Buildings and Similar Climatic Conditions. Energies. 14 (15), p. e4388. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14154388
Improving Thermal Energy Performance of UK Built Environment through the Use of Shading Devices
Salehi, B., Andrews, D., Chaer, I., Newton, E. and Gillich, A. (2021). Improving Thermal Energy Performance of UK Built Environment through the Use of Shading Devices. London Doctoral Academy Postgraduate Research Summer School 2021. London South Bank University 05 - 08 Jul 2021 London South Bank University.
Reducing carbon footprint and cooling demandin arid climates using an integrated hybrid ventilation and photovoltaic approach
Mahmoudi, S. E. and Elnabaw, M. H. (2021). Reducing carbon footprint and cooling demandin arid climates using an integrated hybrid ventilation and photovoltaic approach. Environment, Development and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01571-1
Performance prediction and evaluation on the first balanced energy networks (BEN) part I: BEN and building internal factors
Wang, Y, Gillich, A, Liu, D, Mahmoudi Saber, E., Yebiyo, M, Kang, R, Ford, A and Hewitt, M (2021). Performance prediction and evaluation on the first balanced energy networks (BEN) part I: BEN and building internal factors. Energy. 221, pp. 119797-119797. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.119797
Model predictive control of non-domestic heating using genetic programming dynamic models
Mahmoudi Saber, E. (2020). Model predictive control of non-domestic heating using genetic programming dynamic models. Applied Soft Computing . 97 (B), pp. 106695-106695. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2020.106695
The potential for heat recovery from urban wastewater.
Ali, S. and Gillich, A. (2020). The potential for heat recovery from urban wastewater. CIBSE ASHRAE Technical Symposium 2020. On line 14 - 14 Sep 2020 CIBSE.
Sustainable Energy and Energy Efficient Technologies
Ford, A, Gillich, A and Mirzania, P (2020). Sustainable Energy and Energy Efficient Technologies. in: Letcher, Trevor M (ed.) Future Energy Elesvier. pp. 611-630
GPML: an XML-based standard for the interchange of genetic programming trees
Esmail Saber (2019). GPML: an XML-based standard for the interchange of genetic programming trees. Genetic Programming and Evolvable Machines . 11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10710-019-09370-4
Determining the UK’s potential for heat recovery from wastewater using steady state and dynamic modelling - preliminary results
Ali, S. and Gillich, A. (2018). Determining the UK’s potential for heat recovery from wastewater using steady state and dynamic modelling - preliminary results. 2nd Global Conference on Energy and Sustainable Development, GCESD2018. Edinburgh 18 - 20 Dec 2018 WEENTECH. https://doi.org/10.32438/WPE.58181
The Theoretical versus Practical Potential of Existing and Emerging Wastewater Heat Recovery Technologies
Ali, S. and Gillich, A. (2018). The Theoretical versus Practical Potential of Existing and Emerging Wastewater Heat Recovery Technologies. Energy Systems Conference 201. London, UK 19 - 20 Jun 2018
Overcoming Practical Challenges and Implementing Low-Carbon Heat in the UK: Lessons from the Balanced Energy Network (BEN) at LSBU
Arif, M, Gillich, A, Ford, A and Wang, Y (2018). Overcoming Practical Challenges and Implementing Low-Carbon Heat in the UK: Lessons from the Balanced Energy Network (BEN) at LSBU. CIBSE Technical Symposium. London 12 - 13 Apr 2018
Modelling development and analysis on the Balanced Energy Networks (BEN) in London
Song, WH, Wang, Y, Gillich, A, Ford, A and Hewitt, M (2018). Modelling development and analysis on the Balanced Energy Networks (BEN) in London. Applied Energy. 233/4, pp. 114-125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.10.054
Performance evaluation of damper control settings for operation of multiple-zone variable air volume reheat system in different building applications and climate types
Mahmoudi Saber, E. (2017). Performance evaluation of damper control settings for operation of multiple-zone variable air volume reheat system in different building applications and climate types. Building Simulation. 10 (5), pp. 687-696. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12273-017-0353-4
A smarter way to electrify heat – The Balanced Energy Network approach to demand side response in the UK
Gillich, A (2017). A smarter way to electrify heat – The Balanced Energy Network approach to demand side response in the UK. European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy (ECEEE) Summer Study. Hyeres, France 29 May - 03 Jun 2017 London South Bank University.
Designing an ‘optimal’ domestic retrofit programme
Gillich, A, Sunikka-Blank, M and Ford, A (2017). Designing an ‘optimal’ domestic retrofit programme. Building Research & Information. 46 (7), pp. 767-778. https://doi.org/10.1080/09613218.2017.1368235
Adaptable cooling coil performance during part loads in the tropics - A computational evaluation
Sekhar, C, Anand, P, Schiavon, S, Tham, KW, Cheong, D and Mahmoudi Saber, E. (2017). Adaptable cooling coil performance during part loads in the tropics - A computational evaluation. Energy and Buildings. 159, pp. 148-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2017.10.086
A review of high temperature cooling systems in tropical buildings
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Tham, KW and Leibundgut, H (2016). A review of high temperature cooling systems in tropical buildings. Building and Environment. 96, pp. 237-249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2015.11.029
Lessons for the UK Green Deal from the US BBNP
Gillich, A (2016). Lessons for the UK Green Deal from the US BBNP. Building Research & Information. 45 (4), pp. 384-395. https://doi.org/10.1080/09613218.2016.1159500
HARNESSING DAYLIGHTING AND SOLAR GAINS AS SUSTAINABLE ARCHITECTURAL DESIGNMETHODSIN MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENTS IN LAGOS, NIGERIA.
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Chaer, I. and Ekpeti, B. (2015). HARNESSING DAYLIGHTING AND SOLAR GAINS AS SUSTAINABLE ARCHITECTURAL DESIGNMETHODSIN MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENTS IN LAGOS, NIGERIA. CIBSE Technical Symposium. London 16 - 17 Apr 2015 CIBSE.
Why Education and User Feedback Won’t Close the Performance Gap for University Accommodation
Gillich, A, Sunikka-Blank, M and Ford, A (2015). Why Education and User Feedback Won’t Close the Performance Gap for University Accommodation. CIBSE Technical Symposium. London 16 - 17 Apr 2015 CIBSE.
Ventilation effectiveness and contaminant distribution in an occupied space conditioned with low exergy ventilation technologies in the tropics
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Mast, M, Tham, KW and Leibundgut, H (2015). Ventilation effectiveness and contaminant distribution in an occupied space conditioned with low exergy ventilation technologies in the tropics. Healthy Buildings 2015 Europe. Eindhoven, Netherlands 18 - 20 May 2015 London South Bank University.
PV (photovoltaics) performance evaluation and simulation-based energy yield prediction for tropical buildings
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Lee, SE, Manthapuri, S, Yi, W and Deb, C (2014). PV (photovoltaics) performance evaluation and simulation-based energy yield prediction for tropical buildings. Energy. 71, pp. 588-595. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2014.04.115
Numerical Modelling of an Indoor Space Conditioned with Low Exergy Cooling Technologies in the Tropics
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Mast, M, Tham, KW and Leibundgut, H (2014). Numerical Modelling of an Indoor Space Conditioned with Low Exergy Cooling Technologies in the Tropics. 13th International Conference on Indoor Air Quality and Climate. Hong Kong 07 - 12 Jul 2014 London South Bank University.
Thermal comfort and IAQ analysis of a decentralized DOAS system coupled with radiant cooling for the tropics
Mahmoudi Saber, E., Iyengar, R, Mast, M, Meggers, F, Tham, KW and Leibundgut, H (2014). Thermal comfort and IAQ analysis of a decentralized DOAS system coupled with radiant cooling for the tropics. Building and Environment. 82, pp. 361-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2014.09.001
Stuck in a stack—Temperature measurements of the microclimate around split type condensing units in a high rise building in Singapore
Bruelisauer, M, Meggers, F, Mahmoudi Saber, E., Li, C and Leibundgut, H (2013). Stuck in a stack—Temperature measurements of the microclimate around split type condensing units in a high rise building in Singapore. Energy and Buildings. 71, pp. 28-37. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2013.11.056