The first-run effect: How temporal sequence patterns affect judgments and memory

Conference paper

Kusev, P., Ayton, P., van Schaik, P. and Chater, N. (2007). The first-run effect: How temporal sequence patterns affect judgments and memory. 28th Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making. Long Beach, California, United States 16 - 19 Nov 2007
AuthorsKusev, P., Ayton, P., van Schaik, P. and Chater, N.
TypeConference paper
Abstract

Four experiments study relative frequency judgment and recall of sequentially presented items drawn from two categories (e.g. cities/animals). We find (a) a first-run effect whereby people overestimate the frequency of a given category when that category is the first repeated category to occur in the sequence and (b) a dissociation between judgments and memory; respondents may judge one event more likely than the other and yet recall more instances of the latter. Frequency judgements are influenced by the first run - which may reflect the operation of a judgment heuristic - while free-recall is influenced by later items.

Year2007
Web address (URL)https://sjdm.org/programs/2007-program.pdf
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Print16 Nov 2007
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Accepted10 Aug 2007
Deposited02 Nov 2022
Web address (URL) of conference proceedingshttps://sjdm.org/programs/2007-program.pdf
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