The global distribution of lymphatic filariasis, 2000–18: a geospatial analysis

Journal article


Deshpande, A, Miller-Petrie, MK, Johnson, KB, Abdoli, A, Abrigo, MRM, Adekanmbi, V, Adetokunboh, OO, Adinarayanan, S, Ahmadpour, E, Ahmed, MB, Akalu, TY, Alanzi, TM, Alinia, C, Alipour, V, Amit, AML, Anber, NH, Ancuceanu, R, Andualem, Z, Ansari, F, Antonio, CAT, Anvari, D, Appiah, S, Arabloo, J, Arnold, BF, Ausloos, M, Ayanore, MA, Badirzadeh, A, Baig, AA, Banach, M, Baraki, AG, Bärnighausen, TW, Bayati, M, Bhattacharyya, K, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Bockarie, MJ, Bisanzio, D, Biswas, RK, Bohlouli, S, Cano, J, Carvalho, F, Chattu, VK, Chavshin, C, Cormier, NM, Cromwell, EA, Schmidt, CA, Kwong, KT, Damiani, G, Dandona, R, Dandona, L, Darwesh, AM, Daryani, A, Dash, AP, Deribe, K, Dessu, B, Dhimal, M, Dianatinasab, M, Diaz, D, Do, HT, Earl, L, El Tantawi, M, Faraj, A, Fattahi, N, Fernandes, E, Fischer, F, Foigt, NA, Foroutan, M, Guo, Y, Hailu, GB, Hasaballah, AI, Hassankhani, H, Hassankhani, H, Herteliu, C, de Hidru, HD, Hon, J, Hole, MK, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Househ, M, Humayun, A, Ilesanmi, OS, Ilic, MD, Iqbal, U, Irvani, SSN, Islam, SMS, Jha, RP, Ji, JS, Jozwiak, JJ, Kabir, A, Kalankesh, LR, Kalhor, R, Karami Matin, B, Karch, A, Karimi, S, Kasaeian, A, Kazemi Karyani, A, Kayode, GA, Kelbore, AG, Khafaie, MA and Khalilov, R (2020). The global distribution of lymphatic filariasis, 2000–18: a geospatial analysis. The Lancet Global Health. 8 (9), pp. e1186-e1194. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30286-2
AuthorsDeshpande, A, Miller-Petrie, MK, Johnson, KB, Abdoli, A, Abrigo, MRM, Adekanmbi, V, Adetokunboh, OO, Adinarayanan, S, Ahmadpour, E, Ahmed, MB, Akalu, TY, Alanzi, TM, Alinia, C, Alipour, V, Amit, AML, Anber, NH, Ancuceanu, R, Andualem, Z, Ansari, F, Antonio, CAT, Anvari, D, Appiah, S, Arabloo, J, Arnold, BF, Ausloos, M, Ayanore, MA, Badirzadeh, A, Baig, AA, Banach, M, Baraki, AG, Bärnighausen, TW, Bayati, M, Bhattacharyya, K, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Bockarie, MJ, Bisanzio, D, Biswas, RK, Bohlouli, S, Cano, J, Carvalho, F, Chattu, VK, Chavshin, C, Cormier, NM, Cromwell, EA, Schmidt, CA, Kwong, KT, Damiani, G, Dandona, R, Dandona, L, Darwesh, AM, Daryani, A, Dash, AP, Deribe, K, Dessu, B, Dhimal, M, Dianatinasab, M, Diaz, D, Do, HT, Earl, L, El Tantawi, M, Faraj, A, Fattahi, N, Fernandes, E, Fischer, F, Foigt, NA, Foroutan, M, Guo, Y, Hailu, GB, Hasaballah, AI, Hassankhani, H, Hassankhani, H, Herteliu, C, de Hidru, HD, Hon, J, Hole, MK, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Househ, M, Humayun, A, Ilesanmi, OS, Ilic, MD, Iqbal, U, Irvani, SSN, Islam, SMS, Jha, RP, Ji, JS, Jozwiak, JJ, Kabir, A, Kalankesh, LR, Kalhor, R, Karami Matin, B, Karch, A, Karimi, S, Kasaeian, A, Kazemi Karyani, A, Kayode, GA, Kelbore, AG, Khafaie, MA and Khalilov, R
Abstract

Background: Lymphatic filariasis is a neglected tropical disease that can cause permanent disability through disruption of the lymphatic system. This disease is caused by parasitic filarial worms that are transmitted by mosquitos. Mass drug administration (MDA) of antihelmintics is recommended by WHO to eliminate lymphatic filariasis as a public health problem. This study aims to produce the first geospatial estimates of the global prevalence of lymphatic filariasis infection over time, to quantify progress towards elimination, and to identify geographical variation in distribution of infection. Methods: A global dataset of georeferenced surveyed locations was used to model annual 2000–18 lymphatic filariasis prevalence for 73 current or previously endemic countries. We applied Bayesian model-based geostatistics and time series methods to generate spatially continuous estimates of global all-age 2000–18 prevalence of lymphatic filariasis infection mapped at a resolution of 5 km2 and aggregated to estimate total number of individuals infected. Findings: We used 14 927 datapoints to fit the geospatial models. An estimated 199 million total individuals (95% uncertainty interval 174–234 million) worldwide were infected with lymphatic filariasis in 2000, with totals for WHO regions ranging from 3·1 million (1·6–5·7 million) in the region of the Americas to 107 million (91–134 million) in the South-East Asia region. By 2018, an estimated 51 million individuals (43–63 million) were infected. Broad declines in prevalence are observed globally, but focal areas in Africa and southeast Asia remain less likely to have attained infection prevalence thresholds proposed to achieve local elimination. Interpretation: Although the prevalence of lymphatic filariasis infection has declined since 2000, MDA is still necessary across large populations in Africa and Asia. Our mapped estimates can be used to identify areas where the probability of meeting infection thresholds is low, and when coupled with large uncertainty in the predictions, indicate additional data collection or intervention might be warranted before MDA programmes cease. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

KeywordsLocal Burden of Disease 2019 Neglected Tropical Diseases Collaborators; Humans; Elephantiasis, Filarial; Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Middle Aged; Child; Child, Preschool; Infant; Infant, Newborn; Female; Male; Young Adult; Spatial Analysis; Global Health
Year2020
JournalThe Lancet Global Health
Journal citation8 (9), pp. e1186-e1194
PublisherElsevier BV
ISSN2214-109X
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30286-2
Publication dates
Print01 Sep 2020
Publication process dates
Accepted01 Aug 2020
Deposited01 Dec 2020
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Liquidity transmission and the subprime mortgage crisis: a multivariate GARCH approach
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Sustainable consumption behaviours in P2P accommodation platforms: an exploratory study
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Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries
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Intriguing behavior when testing the impact of quotation marks usage in Google search results
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The influence of Lent on marriages and conceptions explored through a new methodology
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Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017. JAMA Oncology. 5 (12), pp. 1749-1749. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamaoncol.2019.2996
Evidence regarding external financing in manufacturing MSEs using partial least squares regression
Ceptureanu, E.G., Ceptureanu, S. and Herteliu, C. (2019). Evidence regarding external financing in manufacturing MSEs using partial least squares regression. Annals of Operations Research. pp. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-019-03291-2
Past, present, and future of global health financing: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 195 countries, 1995–2050
Chang, AY, Cowling, K, Micah, AE, Chapin, A, Chen, CS, Ikilezi, G, Sadat, N, Tsakalos, G, Wu, J, Younker, T, Zhao, Y, Zlavog, BS, Abbafati, C, Ahmed, AE, Alam, K, Alipour, V, Aljunid, SM, Almalki, MJ, Alvis-Guzman, N, Ammar, W, Andrei, CL, Anjomshoa, M, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Aremu, O, Ausloos, M, Avila-Burgos, L, Awasthi, A, Ayanore, MA, Azari, S, Azzopardi-Muscat, N, Bagherzadeh, M, Bärnighausen, TW, Baune, BT, Bayati, M, Belay, YB, Belay, YA, Belete, H, Berbada, DA, Berman, AE, Beuran, M, Bijani, A, Busse, R, Cahuana-Hurtado, L, Cámera, LA, Catalá-López, F, Chauhan, BG, Constantin, MM, Crowe, CS, Cucu, A, Dalal, K, De Neve, JW, Deiparine, S, Demeke, FM, Do, HP, Dubey, M, El Tantawi, M, Eskandarieh, S, Esmaeili, R, Fakhar, M, Fazaeli, AA, Fischer, F, Foigt, NA, Fukumoto, T, Fullman, N, Galan, A, Gamkrelidze, A, Gezae, KE, Ghajar, A, Ghashghaee, A, Goginashvili, K, Haakenstad, A, Haghparast Bidgoli, H, Hamidi, S, Harb, HL, Hasanpoor, E, Hassen, HY, Hay, SI, Hendrie, D, Henok, A, Heredia-Pi, I, Herteliu, C, Hoang, CL, Hole, MK, Homaie Rad, E, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Ilesanmi, OS, Irvani, SSN, Jakovljevic, M, Jalali, A, James, SL, Jonas, JB, Jürisson, M, Kadel, R, Karami Matin, B, Kasaeian, A, Kasaye, HK and Kassaw, MW (2019). Past, present, and future of global health financing: a review of development assistance, government, out-of-pocket, and other private spending on health for 195 countries, 1995–2050. The Lancet. 393 (10187), pp. 2233-2260. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(19)30841-4
Deciphering the fluctuations of high frequency birth rates
Herteliu, C, Richmond, P and Roehner, BM (2018). Deciphering the fluctuations of high frequency birth rates. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 509, pp. 1046-1061. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2018.06.057
Day of the week submission effect for accepted papers in Physica A, PLOS ONE, Nature and Cell
Boja, CE, Herteliu, C., Dârdală, M and Ileanu, BV (2018). Day of the week submission effect for accepted papers in Physica A, PLOS ONE, Nature and Cell. Scientometrics. 117 (2), pp. 887-918. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-018-2911-7
Quantitative methods to analyze the severe obesity in Romania and its impact over public administration health expenditures
Andrei, CL, Sinescu, RD, Herteliu, C. and Mirică, A (2018). Quantitative methods to analyze the severe obesity in Romania and its impact over public administration health expenditures. Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences. 14 (55), pp. 5-17. https://doi.org/10.24193/tras.55E.1
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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Quantitative and qualitative analysis of editor behavior through potentially coercive citations
Herteliu, C, Ausloos, M, Ileanu, BV, Rotundo, G and Andrei, T (2017). Quantitative and qualitative analysis of editor behavior through potentially coercive citations. Publications. 5 (2), pp. 15-15. https://doi.org/10.3390/publications5020015
Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Naghavi, Mohsen, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Agrawal, Anurag, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Ali, Syed Danish, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Anber, Nahla, Andersen, Hjalte H, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Androudi, Sofia, Ansari, Hossein, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon W, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide 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Laurie B, Markos, Desalegn, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Martopullo, Ira, McAlinden, Colm, McGaughey, Madeline, McGrath, John J, Mehata, Suresh, Meier, Toni, Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese, Menota, Bereket Gebremichael, Mensah, George A, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Atte, Millear, Anoushka, Miller, Ted R, Minnig, Shawn, Mirarefin, Mojde, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Misganaw, Awoke, Mishra, Shiva Raj, Mohamed, Ibrahim Abdelmageem, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammadi, Alireza, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H, Mola, Glen Liddell D, Mollenkopf, Sarah K, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Montañez, Julio C, Montico, Marcella, Mooney, Meghan D, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moraga, Paula, Morawska, Lidia, Morozoff, Chloe, Morrison, Shane D, Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff, Mruts, Kalayu Birhane, Muller, Kate, Murthy, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Nachega, Jean B, Naheed, Aliya, Naldi, Luigi, Nangia, Vinay, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Nasher, Jamal T, Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan, Negoi, Ionut, Ngunjiri, Josephine Wanjiku, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nguyen, Grant, Nguyen, Minh, Nichols, Emma, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nong, Vuong Minh, Noubiap, Jean Jacques N, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Okoro, Anselm, Olagunju, Andrew Toyin, Olsen, Helen E, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Ong, Kanyin, Opio, John Nelson, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Alberto, Osman, Majdi, Ota, Erika, PA, Mahesh, Pacella, Rosana E, Pakhale, Smita, Pana, Adrian, Panda, Basant Kumar, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Papachristou, Christina, Park, Eun-Kee, Patten, Scott B, Patton, George C, Paudel, Deepak, Paulson, Katherine, Pereira, David M, Perez-Ruiz, Fernando, Perico, Norberto, Pervaiz, Aslam, Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pigott, David M, Pinho, Christine, Plass, Dietrich, Pletcher, Martin A, Polinder, Suzanne, Postma, Maarten J, 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