Deciphering the fluctuations of high frequency birth rates

Journal article

Herteliu, C, Richmond, P and Roehner, BM (2018). Deciphering the fluctuations of high frequency birth rates. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 509, pp. 1046-1061. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2018.06.057
AuthorsHerteliu, C, Richmond, P and Roehner, BM
Abstract

Here the term “high frequency” refers to daily, weekly or monthly birth data. The fluctuations of daily birth numbers show a succession of spikes and dips which, at least at first sight, looks almost as random as white noise. However in recent times several studies were published, including by the present authors, which have given better insight into how birth is affected by exogenous factors. This paper demonstrates how it is possible to examine the adverse effects of catastrophes such as famines, diseases, earthquakes and heat waves on conceptions and link these to subsequent large anomalous troughs in the birth rate. Using both contemporary and historical data we also explore the changes over time which have taken place in birth rate troughs that arise from religious edicts within the Orthodox and Catholic populations in Romania and France respectively. These as well as other effects raise the hope that we will soon be able to “read” and interpret birth rate patterns in the same manner as for example Egyptologists may decipher hieroglyphs.

Keywordsbirth; fluctuations; holidays; religion; mass mortality; heat waves
Year2018
JournalPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Journal citation509, pp. 1046-1061
PublisherElsevier BV
ISSN0378-4371
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2018.06.057
Publication dates
Print01 Nov 2018
Publication process dates
Accepted16 Jun 2018
Deposited09 Jun 2020
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Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study
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Zastrozhina, A., Zewdie, D.T., Zhang, Y., Zhang, Z.-J., Ziapour, A., Hay, S.I. and Dwyer-Lindgren, L. (2021). Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study. The Lancet HIV. 8 (6), pp. e363-e375. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2352-3018(21)00051-5
Mapping inequalities in exclusive breastfeeding in low- and middle-income countries, 2000–2018
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(2021). Mapping inequalities in exclusive breastfeeding in low- and middle-income countries, 2000–2018. Nature Human Behaviour. 5, pp. 1027-1045. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-021-01108-6
Testing Benford’s Laws (non)conformity within disclosed companies’ financial statements among hospitality industry in Romania
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Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomplete vital registration systems
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Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health: all-cause and cause-specific mortality findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
Paulson, K.R., Kamath, A.M., Alam, T., Bienhoff, K., Abady, G.G., Abbas, J., Abbasi-Kangevari, M., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abd-Elsalam, S.M., Abdoli, A., Abedi, A., Abolhassani, H., Abreu, L.G., Abu-Gharbieh, E., Abu-Rmeileh, N.M., Abushouk, A.I., Adamu, A.L., Adebayo, O.M., Adegbosin, A.E., Adekanmbi, V., Adetokunboh, O.O., Adeyinka, D.A., Adsuar, J.C., Afshari, K., Aghaali, M., Agudelo-Botero, M., Ahinkorah, B.O., Ahmad, T., Ahmadi, K., Ahmed, M.B., Aji, B., Akalu, Y., Akinyemi, O.O., Aklilu, A., Al-Aly, Z., Alam, K., Alanezi, F.M., Alanzi, T.M., Alcalde-Rabanal, J.E., Al-Eyadhy, A., Ali, T., Alicandro, G., Alif, S.M., Alipour, V., Alizade, H., Aljunid, S.M., Almasi-Hashiani, A., Almasri, N.A., Al-Mekhlafi, H.M., Alonso, J., Al-Raddadi, R.M., Altirkawi, K.A., Alumran, A.K., Alvis-Guzman, N., Alvis-Zakzuk, N.J., Ameyaw, E.K., Amini, S., Amini-Rarani, M., Amit, A.M.L., Amugsi, D.A., Ancuceanu, R., Anderlini, D., Andrei, C.L., Ansari, F., Ansari-Moghaddam, A., Antonio, C.A.T., 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Cahuana-Hurtado, L., Camargos, P., Cámera, L.A., Cárdenas, R., Carreras, G., Carrero, J.J., Carvalho, F., Castaldelli-Maia, J.M., Castañeda-Orjuela, C.A., Castelpietra, G., Cerin, E., Chang, J.-C., Chanie, W.F., Charan, J., Chatterjee, S., Chattu, S.K., Chattu, V.K., Chaturvedi, S., Chen, S., Cho, D.Y., Choi, J.-Y.J., Chu, D.-T., Ciobanu, L.G., Cirillo, M., Conde, J., Costa, V.M., Couto, R.A.S., Dachew, B.A., Dahlawi, S.M.A., Dai, H., Dai, X., Dandona, L., Dandona, R., Daneshpajouhnejad, P., Darmstadt, G.L., Das, J.K., Dávila-Cervantes, C.A., Davis, A.C., Davletov, K., De la Hoz, F.P., De Leo, D., Deeba, F., Denova-Gutiérrez, E., Dervenis, N., Desalew, A., Deuba, K., Dey, S., Dharmaratne, S.D., Dhingra, S., Dhungana, G.P., Dias da Silva, D., Diaz, D., Dorostkar, F., Doshmangir, L., Dubljanin, E., Duraes, A.R., Eagan, A.W., Edinur, H.A., Efendi, F., Eftekharzadeh, S., El Sayed, I., El Tantawi, M., Elbarazi, I., Elgendy, I.Y., El-Jaafary, S.I., Emami, A., Enany, S., Eyawo, O., Ezzikouri, 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F.S., Vlassov, V., Vo, B., Vu, G.T., Wado, Y.D., Waheed, Y., Wamai, R.G., Wang, Y., Wang, Y., Wang, Y.-P., Ward, P., Werdecker, A., Westerman, R., Wickramasinghe, N.D., Wilner, L.B., Wiysonge, C.S., Wu, A.-M., Wu, C., Xie, Y., Yahyazadeh Jabbari, S.H., Yamagishi, K., Yandrapalli, S., Yaya, S., Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V., Yip, P., Yonemoto, N., Yoon, S.-J., Younis, M.Z., Yousefi, Z., Yousefinezhadi, T., Yu, C., Yusuf, S.S., Zaidi, S.S., Zaman, S.B., Zamani, M., Zamanian, M., Zastrozhin, M.S., Zastrozhina, A., Zhang, Y., Zhang, Z.-J., Zhao, X.-J.G., Ziapour, A., Hay, S.I., Murray, C.J.L., Wang, H. and Kassebaum, N.J. 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Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries
Sbarra, A.N., Rolfe, S., Nguyen, J.Q., Earl, L., Galles, N.C., Marks, A., Abbas, K.M., Abbasi-Kangevari, M., Abbastabar, H., Abd-Allah, F., Abdelalim, A., Abdollahi, M., Abegaz, K.H., Abiy, H.A.A., Abolhassani, H., Abreu, L.G., Abrigo, M.R.M., Abushouk, A.I., Accrombessi, M.M.K., Adabi, M., Adebayo, O.M., Adekanmbi, V., Adetokunboh, O.O., Adham, D., Afarideh, M., Aghaali, M., Ahmad, T., Ahmadi, R., Ahmadi, K., Ahmed, M.B., Alanezi, F.M., Alanzi, T.M., Alcalde-Rabanal, J.E., Alemnew, B.T., Ali, B.A., Ali, M., Alijanzadeh, M., Alinia, C., Alipoor, R., Alipour, V., Alizade, H., Aljunid, S.M., Almasi, A., Almasi-Hashiani, A., Al-Mekhlafi, H.M., Altirkawi, K.A., Amare, B., Amini, S., Amini-Rarani, M., Amiri, F., Amit, A.M.L., Amugsi, D.A., Ancuceanu, R., Andrei, C.L., Anjomshoa, M., Ansari, F., Ansari-Moghaddam, A., Ansha, M.G., Antonio, C.A.T., Antriyandarti, E., Anvari, D., Arabloo, J., Arab-Zozani, M., Aremu, O., Armoon, B., Aryal, K.K., Arzani, A., Asadi-Aliabadi, M., Asgari, S., 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Mapping geographical inequalities in oral rehydration therapy coverage in low-income and middle-income countries, 2000–17
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Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
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Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
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Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
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The global distribution of lymphatic filariasis, 2000–18: a geospatial analysis
Deshpande, A, Miller-Petrie, MK, Johnson, KB, Abdoli, A, Abrigo, MRM, Adekanmbi, V, Adetokunboh, OO, Adinarayanan, S, Ahmadpour, E, Ahmed, MB, Akalu, TY, Alanzi, TM, Alinia, C, Alipour, V, Amit, AML, Anber, NH, Ancuceanu, R, Andualem, Z, Ansari, F, Antonio, CAT, Anvari, D, Appiah, S, Arabloo, J, Arnold, BF, Ausloos, M, Ayanore, MA, Badirzadeh, A, Baig, AA, Banach, M, Baraki, AG, Bärnighausen, TW, Bayati, M, Bhattacharyya, K, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Bockarie, MJ, Bisanzio, D, Biswas, RK, Bohlouli, S, Cano, J, Carvalho, F, Chattu, VK, Chavshin, C, Cormier, NM, Cromwell, EA, Schmidt, CA, Kwong, KT, Damiani, G, Dandona, R, Dandona, L, Darwesh, AM, Daryani, A, Dash, AP, Deribe, K, Dessu, B, Dhimal, M, Dianatinasab, M, Diaz, D, Do, HT, Earl, L, El Tantawi, M, Faraj, A, Fattahi, N, Fernandes, E, Fischer, F, Foigt, NA, Foroutan, M, Guo, Y, Hailu, GB, Hasaballah, AI, Hassankhani, H, Hassankhani, H, Herteliu, C, de Hidru, HD, Hon, J, Hole, MK, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Househ, M, Humayun, A, Ilesanmi, OS, Ilic, MD, Iqbal, U, Irvani, SSN, Islam, SMS, Jha, RP, Ji, JS, Jozwiak, JJ, Kabir, A, Kalankesh, LR, Kalhor, R, Karami Matin, B, Karch, A, Karimi, S, Kasaeian, A, Kazemi Karyani, A, Kayode, GA, Kelbore, AG, Khafaie, MA and Khalilov, R (2020). The global distribution of lymphatic filariasis, 2000–18: a geospatial analysis. The Lancet Global Health. 8 (9), pp. e1186-e1194. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2214-109X(20)30286-2
Changes in disease burden in Poland between 1990–2017 in comparison with other Central European countries: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
Gańczak, M, Miazgowski, T, Kożybska, M, Kotwas, A, Korzeń, M, Rudnicki, B, Nogal, T, Andrei, C L, Ausloos, M, Banach, M, Brazinova, A, Constantin, M, Dubljanin, E, Herteliu, C, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Jakovljevic, M, Jozwiak, J J, Kissimova-Skarbek, K, Król, Z J, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Milevska Kostova, N, Naghavi, M, Negoi, I, Negoi, R I, Pana, A, Rubino, S, Sekerija, M, Sierpinski, R, Szponar, L, Topor-Madry, R, Vujcic, I S, Widecka, J, Widecka, K, Wojtyniak, B, Zadnik, V and Kopec, J A (2020). Changes in disease burden in Poland between 1990–2017 in comparison with other Central European countries: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. PLoS ONE. 15 (3), pp. e0226766-e0226766. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0226766
Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017
Kinyoki, D.K., Ross, J.M., Lazzar-Atwood, A. and Herteliu, C. (2020). Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017. Nature Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6
Health sector spending and spending on HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria, and development assistance for health: progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3
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Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
Bikbov, B, Purcell, CA, Levey, AS, Smith, M, Abdoli, A, Abebe, M, Adebayo, OM, Afarideh, M, Agarwal, SK, Agudelo-Botero, M, Ahmadian, E, Al-Aly, Z, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Al-Raddadi, RM, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, S, Andrei, T, Andrei, CL, Andualem, Z, Anjomshoa, M, Arabloo, J, Ashagre, AF, Asmelash, D, Ataro, Z, Atout, MMDW, Ayanore, MA, Badawi, A, Bakhtiari, A, Ballew, SH, Balouchi, A, Banach, M, Barquera, S, Basu, S, Bayih, MT, Bedi, N, Bello, AK, Bensenor, IM, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Borzì, AM, Cámera, LA, Carrero, JJ, Carvalho, F, Castro, F, Catalá-López, F, Chang, AR, Chin, KL, Chung, SC, Cirillo, M, Cousin, E, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Das Gupta, R, Demeke, FM, Demoz, GT, Desta, DM, Do, HP, Duncan, BB, Eftekhari, A, Esteghamati, A, Fatima, SS, Fernandes, JC, Fernandes, E, Fischer, F, Freitas, M, Gad, MM, Gebremeskel, GG, Gebresillassie, BM, Geta, B, Ghafourifard, M, Ghajar, A, Ghith, N, Gill, PS, Ginawi, IA, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hariyani, N, Hasan, M, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassen, HY, Hay, SI, Heidari, B, Herteliu, C, Hoang, CL, Hosseini, M, Hostiuc, M, Irvani, SSN, Islam, SMS, Jafari Balalami, N, James, SL, Jassal, SK, Jha, V, Jonas, JB, Joukar, F and Jozwiak, JJ (2020). Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. The Lancet. 395 (10225), pp. 709-733. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30045-3
Liquidity transmission and the subprime mortgage crisis: a multivariate GARCH approach
Xiao, L., Dhesi, G., Ceptureanu, E.G., Lin, K., Herteliu, C., Syed, B. and Ceptureanu, S.I. (2020). Liquidity transmission and the subprime mortgage crisis: a multivariate GARCH approach. Soft Computing. 10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-020-04772-4
Sustainable consumption behaviours in P2P accommodation platforms: an exploratory study
Ceptureanu, E.G., Ceptureanu, S., Herteliu, C. and Cerqueti, R. (2020). Sustainable consumption behaviours in P2P accommodation platforms: an exploratory study. Soft Computing. pp. 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-020-04681-6
Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries
Kinyoki, D., Osgood-Zimmerman, A., Pickering, B., Schaeffler, L., Ausloos, M., Herteliu, C., Kassenbaum, N. and Hay, S. (2020). Mapping child growth failure across low- and middle-income countries. Nature. 577 (7789), pp. 231-234. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1878-8
Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries
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Intriguing behavior when testing the impact of quotation marks usage in Google search results
Ileanu, B.V., Ausloos, M., Herteliu, C. and Cristescu, M.P. (2019). Intriguing behavior when testing the impact of quotation marks usage in Google search results. Quality & Quantity. 53 (5), pp. 2507-2519. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-018-0771-0
The influence of Lent on marriages and conceptions explored through a new methodology
Herteliu, C., Richmond, P. and Roehner, B.M. (2019). The influence of Lent on marriages and conceptions explored through a new methodology. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. 532, pp. 121768-121768. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.121768
Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017
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Population and fertility by age and sex for 195 countries and territories, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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A., Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Winkler, Andrea Sylvia, Wijeratne, Tissa, Widecka, Katarzyna, Widecka, Justyna, Whiteford, Harvey, Westerman, Ronny, Werdecker, Andrea, Weldegwergs, Kidu Gidey, Weintraub, Robert G., Weiderpass, Elisabete, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Wang, Yanping, Walson, Judd L., Waheed, Yasir, Wagnew, Fasil Shiferaw, Vujcic, Isidora S., Vosoughi, Kia, Vos, Theo, Vollset, Stein Emil, Vlassov, Vasily, Vladimirov, Sergey Konstantinovitch, Violante, Francesco S., Villafaina, Santos, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogales, Vasankari, Tommi Juhani, Varughese, Santosh, Varavikova, Elena, Valdez, Pascual R., Vaidya, Gaurang, Vaezi, Afsane, Vaduganathan, Muthiah, Uzun, Selen Begum, Uthman, Olalekan A., Usman, Muhammad Shariq, Ullah, Irfan, Ukwaja, Kingsley N., Car, Lorainne Tudor, Tsilimparis, Nikolaos, Tsegay, Amanuel, Tsadik, Afewerki Gebremeskel, Nu Thi Truong, Truelsen, Thomas Clement, Tripathy, Srikanth Prasad, Khan Bao Tran, Bach Xuan Tran, Toyoshima, Hideaki, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Tortajada-Girbes, Miguel, Torre, Anna E., Topor-Madry, Roman, Tonelli, Marcello, To, Quyen G., Tilahun, Binyam, Thomson, Alan J., Thomas, Nihal, Thirunavukkarasu, Sathish, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Thakur, Jarnail Singh, Teweldemedhin, Mebrahtu, Tessema, Belay, Teshale, Manaye Yihune, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Tekle, Merhawi Gebremedhin, Tekalign, Tigist Gashaw, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tawye, Nega Yimer, Taveira, Nuno, Tassew, Segen Gebremeskel, Tassew, Aberash Abay, Tandon, Nikhil, Tadakamadla, Santos Kumar, Tabb, Karen M., Tabares-Seisdedos, Rafael, Szoeke, Cassandra E. I., Sylte, Dillon O., Sylaja, P. N., Sykes, Bryan L., Sutradhar, Ipsita, Sur, Patrick John, Sunguya, Bruno F., Sulo, Gerhard, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Subart, Michelle L., Strong, Mark, Stokes, Mark A., Stewart, Leo G., Steiner, Cartlyn, Starodubov, Vladimir I., Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T., Soyiri, Ineneous N., Soriano, Joan B., Soofi, Moslem, Sobhani, Soheila, Sobaih, Badr Hasan, Soares Filho, Adauto Martins, Sliwa, Karen, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Singh, Virendra, Singh, Narinder Pal, Singh, Jasvinder A., Singam, Narayana Sarma Venkata, Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alves, Silva, Joao Pedro, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Silpakit, Naris, Sigurvinsdottir, Rannveig, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Siddiqi, Tariq J., Sibai, Abla Mehio, Siabani, Soraya, Si, Si, Shukla, Sharvari Rahul, Shokraneh, Farhad, Shiue, Ivy, Shirkoohi, Reza, Shiri, Rahman, Shigematsu, Mika, Shibuya, Kenji, Shi, Pailin, Sheikh, Ariz, She, Jun, Sharma, Rajesh, Sharma, Jayendra, Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi, Sharif, Mehdi, Sharafi, Kiomars, Sharafi, Heidar, Sharnsizadeh, Morteza, Shamsi, Mohammadbagher, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Shakir, Raad A., Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shaheen, Amira A., Shafieesabet, Azadeh, Shackelford, Katya Anne, Shabaninejad, Hosein, Servan-Mori, Edson, Sepanlou, Sadaf G., Sekerija, Mario, Seedat, Soraya, Schwendicke, Falk, Schwebel, David C., Schneider, Ione J. C., Schelonka, Kathryn, Schaeffner, Elke, Saxena, Sonia, Sawhney, Monika, Sawant, Arundhati R., Satpathy, Maheswar, Sathian, Brijesh, Sarvi, Shahabeddin, Sartorius, Berm, Sarrafradegan, Nizal, Saroshe, Satish, Sanniento-Suarez, Rodrigo, Sarker, Abdur Razzaque, Sardana, Mayank, Jose, Bruno Piassi Sao, Milicevic, Milena M. 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N., Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Reis, Cesar, Reiner, Robert C., Razo-Garcia, Christian, Ray, Sarah E., Rawaf, Salman, Rawaf, David Laith, Ranjan, Prabhat, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Ram, Usha, Rajsic, Sasa, Rajati, Fatemeh, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rahman, Sajjad Ur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahman, Md Shafiur, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahimi-Movaghah, Vafa, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahim, Fakher, Rafiei, Alireza, Rafay, Anwar, Radfar, Arnir, Quansah, Reginald, Qorbani, Mostafa, Purwar, Manorama B., Purcell, Caroline A., Prasad, Narayan, Prakash, Swayam, Poustchi, Hossein, Pourshams, Akram, Pourmalek, Farshad, Postma, Maarten J., Polanczyk, Guilherme V., Pirsaheb, Meghdad, Pillay, Julian David, Pigott, David M., Pierce, Maxwell, Petzold, Max, Petri, William A., Pesudovs, Konrad, Perico, Norberto, Pereira, David M., Peprah, Emmanuel K., Pedroso, Marcel Moraes, Paudel, Deepak, Paturi, Vishnupriya Rao, Patton, George C., Patle, Ajay, Patil, Snehal T., Patel, Shanti, Parsian, Hadi, Park, Eun-Kee, Pandey, Achyut Raj, Panda-Jonas, Songhomina, Panda, Basant Kumar, Pana, Adrian, Pakhare, Abhijtt P., Pakhale, Mahesh P. A. Smita, Oyekale, Abayomi Samuel, Owolabi, Mayowa Ojo, Otstavnov, Stanislav S., Otieno, Brenda Achieng, Ota, Erika, Osgood-Zimmerman, Aaron, Ortiz, Alberto, Ong, Sok King, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olivares, Pedro R., Olagunju, Tinuke O., Olagunju, Andrew T., Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Okoro, Anselm, Oh, In-Hwan, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Ogah, Okechukwu Samuel, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Odell, Christopher M., Nyasulu, Peter S., Nyandwi, Alypio, Nowroozi, Mohammad Reza, Shiadeh, Malihe Nourollahpour, Nouri, Hamid Reza, Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Noroozi, Mehdi, Nomura, Shuhei, Nixon, Molly R., Nisar, Muhammad Miran, Nirayo, Yirga Legesse, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Long Hoang Nguyen, Nguyen, Grant, Ngunjiri, Josephine W., Ngalesoni, Frida N., Newton, Charles Richard James, Neupane, Subas, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Negoi, Ionut, Neamati, Nahid, Ncama, Busisiwe P., Nawaz, Haseeb, Naschnento, Bruno Ramos, Nansseu, Jobert Richie, Nangia, Vinay, Naldi, Luigi, Najafi, Farid, Naik, Paulami, Naik, Gurudatta, Nahnjou, Azin, Naheed, Aliya, Naghavi, Mohsen, Nagel, Gabriele, Nachega, Jean B., Muthupandian, Saravanan, Mustafa, Ghulam, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Musa, Jonah, Murthy, G. V. S., Muller, Kate, Murphy, Tasha B., Mukhopadhyay, Satinath, Mueller, Ulrich Otto, Muchie, Kindle Fentahun, Muche, Achenef Asmamaw, Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam, Moschos, Marilita M., Mosapour, Abbas, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Mori, Rintaro, Morgado-Da-Costa, Joana, Moraga, Paula, Moradinazar, Mehdi, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moradi, Mahmoudreza, Moradi, Ghobad, Montanez, Julio Cesar, Monasta, Lorenzo, Molokhia, Mariam, Mola, Glen Dl, Mokdad, Ali H., Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohammed, A. Mohammed, Mohanmmdi-Khanaposhtani, Marysm, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohammadi, Moslem, Mohammad, Karzan Abduhmuhsin, Moazen, Bahak, Misganaw, Awoke Temesgen, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M., Mirica, Andreea, Mirabi, Parvaneh, Mini, G. K., Miller-Petrie, Molly Katherine, Miller, Ted R., Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miangotar, Yode, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Meretoja, Tuomo J., Meretoja, Atte, Mereta, Seid Tiku, Mensah, George A., Mengistu, Getnet, Mengistu, Desalegn Tadese, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mendoza, Walter, Memish, Ziad A., Memiah, Peter T. N., Melku, Mulugeta, Melese, Addisu, Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam, Meles, Hagazi Gebre, Mekonnen, Tefera C., Mehta, Varshil, Mehta, Kala M., Mehrzadi, Saeed, Mehrotra, Ravi, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Mehendale, Sanjay Madhav, Mehata, Suresh, McGrath, John J., Mazidi, Mohsen, Main, Pallab K., Mathur, Mann Raj, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Mason-Jones, Amanda J., Masiye, Felix, Mashamba-Thompson, Tivani Phosa, Marzan, Melvin B., Martz, Winfried, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlandio, Marina, Shakhnazarova, Marcenes, Wagner, Maravilla, Joemer C., Marami, Dadi, Mapoma, Chabila Christopher, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Mangalam, Srikanth, Manda, Ana-Laura, Mariano, Wondimu Ayele, Mamun, Abdullah A., Malik, Manzoor Ahmad, Malekzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majdan, Marek, Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur, Mahmood, Tarek Abd Elaziz, Madotto, Fabiana, Mackay, Mark T., Macarayan, Erlyn Rachelle King, Mabika, Crispin Mabika, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Lozano, Rafael, Lotufo, Paulo A., Lorkowski, Stefan, Liu, Shiwei, Linn, Shai, Limenih, Miteku Andualem, Lim, Lee-Ling, Liben, Misgan Iegesse, Liang, Xiaofeng, Liang, Juan, Li, Yichong, Li, Xiaohong, Li, Shanshan, Levi, Miriam, Leta, Samson, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Leigh, James, Lee, Paul H., Lee, James B., Lazarus, Jeffrey V., Laxmaiah, Avula, Latifi, Arman, Lassi, Zohra S., Laryea, Dennis Odai, Lansingh, Van C., Lansky, Sonia, Lang, Justin J., Lami, Faris Hasan, Lam, Hilton, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Lafranconi, Alessandra, Lad, Sheetal D., Kutz, Michael J., Kumsa, Fekede Asefa, Kumar, Pushpendra, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, G. Anil, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Krohn, Kristopher J., Krishnaswami, Sanjay, Krishan, Kewal, Koyanagi, Ai, Koul, Parvaiz A., Kosen, Soewarta, Kosek, Margaret N., Kopec, Jacek A., Kolola, Tufa, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kochhar, Sonli, Kivimaki, Mika, Kisa, Adnan, Kinra, Sanjay, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kimokoti, Ruth W., Kim, Yun Jin, Kim, Young-Eun, Kim, Jun Y., Kim, Daniel, Kilgore, Paul Evan, Kiirithio, Daniel N., Kidenemariam, Zelalem Teklemariam, Kibret, Getiye D., Khosravi, Mohammad Hossein, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khoja, Abdullah T., Khazaie, Habibolah, Khazaeipour, Zahra, Khatony, Alireza, Khater, Mona M., Khanna, Tripti, Hang, Young-Ho K., Khan, Muhammad Shahzeb, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khalil, Ibrahim A., Khalid, Nauman, Khajavi, Alireza, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Kereselidze, Maia, Keren, Andre, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Kemp, Grant Rodgers, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kebede, Seifu, Karyani, Ali Kazemi, Kawakami, Norito, Kaul, Anil, Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal, Kastor, Anshul, Kassebaum, Nicholas J., Kassa, Zemenu Yohannes, Kassa, Tesfaye Dessale, Kassa, Getachew Muilu, Kassa, Dessalegn H., Kasacian, Amir, Karimi, Seyed M., Karema, Corine, Karch, Andre, Martin, Behead Karami, Karami, Manoochehr, Kapil, Umesh, Kalani, Rizwan, Kahsay, Amaha, Kadel, Rajendra, Kabir, Zubair, Jurisson, Mikk, Jungari, Suresh Banayya, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jonas, Jost B., Ji, John S., Jha, Vivekanand, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jassal, Simerjot K., James, Spencer L., Jalu, Moti Tolera, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jam, Sudhir Kumar, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jahangiry, Leila, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Sharifhl, Isehunwa, Oluwaseyi Oluwakemi, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Irenso, Asnake Ararsa, Iqbal, Usman, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ikeda, Chad Thomas, Igumbor, Ehimario U., Iburg, Kim Moesgaard, Huang, John J., Hu, Guoqing, Hsiao, Thomas, Hsairi, Mohamed, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hostiuc, Mihaela, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Chavoshi, Meimanat M. Hosseini, Hosseini, Seyed Mostafa, Hosgood, H. Dean, Hoogar, Praveen, Rad, Enayatollah Homaie, Hole, Michael K., Hibstu, Desalegn T., Heydarpour, Fatemeh, Herteliu, Claudiu, Henry, Nathaniel J., Henok, Andualem, Hendrie, Delia, Heidari, Behnam, Heibati, Behzad, Hegazy, Mohamed I., Hedayatizadeh-Omran, Akbar, He, Yihua, Hay, Simon I., Havrnoeller, Rasmus, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hasan, Mehedi, Haro, Josep Maria, Haririan, Hamidreza, Harb, Hilda I., Hao, Yuantao, Hankey, Graeme J., Handal, Alexis J., Hamidi, Sarver, Hamadeh, Randah R., Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hailegiyorgis, Tewodros Tesfa, Hagos, Tekleberhan B., Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hachinski, Vladimir, Haagsma, Juanita A., Gupta, Tanush, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Prakash C., Guo, Yuming, Guo, Jingwen, Gugnani, Harish Chander C., Grosso, Giuseppe, Grada, Ayman, Goulart, Garcia, Niegia, Barbara, Goulart, Alessandra C., Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Goodridge, Amador, Gona, Philimon N., Gomez-Dantes, Hector, Gomez, Ricardo Santiago, Goli, Srinivas, Gnedovskaya, Elena V., Giussani, Giorgia, Gill, Tiffany K., Gill, Paramjit Singh, Ghoshal, Aloke Gopal, Ghimire, Mamata, Ghiasvand, Hesam, Ghasemi-Kasman, Maryam, Falavarjani, Khalil Ghasemi, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghadimi, Reza, Ghadami, Mohammad Rasoul, Gezae, Kebede Embaye, Gething, Peter, Genova-Maleras, Ricard, Geleijnse, 'Johanna N., Gelaw, Yalemzewod Assefa, Gelano, Tilayie Feto, Gebremedhin, Amanttel Tesfay, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Gebregergs, Gebremedhin Berhe, Gebre, Teshome, Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Garcia-Gordillo, Miguel A., Garcia, Gregory N., Gankpe, Fortune Gbetoho, Ganji, Morsaleh, Gamkrelidze, Amiran, Gallus, Silvano, Gakidou, Emmanuela, Fullman, Nancy, Fuller, John E., Fukumoto, Takeshi, Furst, Thomas, Fornari, Carla, Foreman, Kyle J., Foigt, Nataliya A., Flor, Luisa Sorio, Fischer, Florian, Finegold, Samuel, Filip, Irina, Feyissa, Garumma Tolu, Femandes, Eduarda, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fentahun, Netsanet, Fenny, Ama P., Feizy, Fariba, Feigl, Andrea B., Feigin, Valery I., Fazeli, Mir Sohail, Fay, Kairsten A., Farzaei, Mohammad Hosein, Farzadfar, Farshad, Farvid, Maryam S., Faro, Andre, Farinha, Carla Sofia E. Sa, Fareed, Mohammad, Faramarzi, Mahbobeh, Farag, Tamer, Fakhim, Hamed, Estep, Kara, Esteghamati, Sadaf, Esteghamati, Alireza, Esmaeili, Reza, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eshrati, Babak, Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Enayati, Ahmadali, Elyazar, Iqbal Rf, El-Khatib, Ziad, El Bcheraoui, Charbel, Edvardsson, David, Ebrahimpour, Soheil, Duraes, Andre R., Duken, Eyasu Neff, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Dubey, Manisha, Driscoll, Tint R., Doyle, Kerrie E., Dolan, Kate A., Doku, David Teye, Dokova, Klara, Huyen Phuc Do, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dinsa, Ginnaye Deye, Ding, Eric L., Dicker, Daniel, Dhimal, Meghnath, Dharniaratne, Samath D., Dessie, Getenet Ayalew, Des Jarlais, Don C., Dervenis, Nikolaos, Deribe, Kebede, Denova-Gutierrez, Edgar, Demtsu, Eakin, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Deiparine, Selina, Degfie, Tizta Tilahun, Degenhardt, Louisa, Degefa, Meaza Ginna, De Neve, Jan Walter, De Leo, Diego, Davletov, Kairat, Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, Weaver, Nicole Davis, Dash, Aditya Prasad, Dasa, Tamirat Tesfaye, Das Neves, Jose, Das Gupta, Raja T., Daryani, Ahmad, Dargan, Paul I., Dandona, Rakhi, Dandona, Lalit, Dachew, Berihun Assefa, Daba, Alemneh Kabeta, Cunningham, Matthew, Cukelj, Petra, Crowe, Christopher Stephen, Cromwell, Elizabeth A., Costa, Megan, Cortinovis, Monica, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Cornaby, Leslie, Cooper, Leslie Trumbull, Cooper, Cyrus, Conti, Sara, Constantin, Maria-Magdalena, Collado-Mateo, Daniel, Claro, Rafael M., Cirillo, Massimo, Ciobanu, Liliana G., Cicuttini, Flavia M., Christopher, Devasahayam J., Chowdhury, Rajiv, Choi, Jee-Young J., Chitheer, Abdulaal, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Chin, Ken Lee, Chiang, Peggy Pei-Chia, Chaturvedi, Pankaj, Chattopadhyay, Aparajita, Chang, Jung-Chen, Chang, Hsing-Yi, Chalek, Julian, Cerin, Ester, Cavin, Alanur, Catala-Lopez, Ferran, Castro, Franz, Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A., Carvalho, Felix, Carrero, Juan J., Cardenas, Rosario, Car, Mate, Cano, Jorge, Rincon, Julio Cesar Campuzano, Campos-Nonato, Ismael R., Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Riff, Zahid A., Busse, Reinhard, Burstein, Roy, Britton, Gabrielle, Briant, Paul Svitil, Brewer, Jetty D., Brenner, Hermann, Breitborde, Nicholas J. K., Brazinova, Alexandra, Brainin, Michael, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Brady, Oliver J., Boufous, Soufiane, Bosetti, Cristina, Basara, Berrak Bora, Bleyer, Archie, Bizuneh, Hailemichael, Diswas, Tuhin, Birungi, Charles, Birlik, Sait Mentes, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shandaat, Bililign, Nigus, Rikbov, Boris, Bijani, Ali, Biadgo, Belete, Bhutia, Zulltiqar A., Bhaumik, Soumyadeep, Bhattarai, Suraj, Beuran, Mircea, Bertolacci, Gregory J., Bernstein, Robert S., Bernabe, Eduardo, Berman, Adam E., Berhane, Adugnaw, Bergeron, Gilles, Bensenor, Isabela M., Bennett, Derrick A., Bello, Aminu K., Bell, Michelle L., Belay, Yihalem Abebe, Belay, Saba Abrahant, Belay, Ezra, Belay, Aregawi Gebreyesus, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Belazadifar, Meysam, Behzadifar, Masoud, Beghi, Ettore, Baynes, Habtamu Wondifraw, Baune, Bernhard T., Basu, Arindam, Bassat, Quique, Basaleem, Huda, Barrero, Lope H., Barnighausen, Till Winfried, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Ranach, Maciej, Bali, Ayele Geleto, Badawi, Alaa, Radali, Hamid, Babazadeh, Arefeh, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Azzopardi, Peter S., Ayuk, Tambe B., Ayer, Rakesh, Ayele, Yohanes, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Awasthi, Ashish, Avokpaho, Euripide F. C. A., Ausloos, Marcel, Atteraya, Madhu Sudhan, Afique, Suleman, Atey, Tesfay Mehari Mehari, Assadi, Reza, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay, Asayesh, Hamid, Aryal, Krishna K., Artaman, Al, Arnlov, Johan, Arian, Nicholas, Areri, Habtamu Abera, Aremu, Olatunde, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T., Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Ansari, Hossein, Animut, Megbant Delialkie, Androudi, Sofia, Andrei, Catalina Liliatta, Anber, Nahla Flamed, Ammar, Walid, Amare, Azmeraw T., Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alsharif, Ubai, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M., Alonso, Jordi, Almasi, Ali, Allebeck, Peter, Alla, Francois, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Ali, Raghib, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Aleman, Alicia V., Alebel, Animut, Alam, Khurshid, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alahdab, Fares, Akseer, Nadia, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akibu, Mohammed, Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil, Akanda, Ali S., Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Ahmed, Sayem, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Ahmadi, Mehdi, Ahmadi, Alireza, Agrawal, Sutapa, Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi, Agesa, Kareha M., Agarwal, Gina, Afshin, Ashkan, Afarideh, Mohsen, Adsuar, Jose C., Adou, Arsene Kouablan, Adib, Mina C., Adhikari, Tara Ballav, Adhena, Beyene Meressa, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O., Adekanmbi, Victor, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adebayo, Oladimeji M., Adamu, Abdu A., Acharya, Pawan, Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kolkou, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M. 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Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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