Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Time Pooling Deep Recurrent Neural Network
Vaygan, E. K., Rajabi, R and Estebsari, A. (2021). Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Time Pooling Deep Recurrent Neural Network. 2021 IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering and 2021 IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Europe (EEEIC / I&CPS Europe). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE). https://doi.org/10.1109/EEEIC/ICPSEurope51590.2021.9584634
|Authors||Vaygan, E. K., Rajabi, R and Estebsari, A.|
Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty. Some applications like Nonintrusive Load Monitoring (NILM) can support DSM, however they require accurate forecasting on high resolution data. This is challenging when it comes to single loads like one residential household due to its high volatility. In this paper, we review some of the existing Deep Learning-based methods and present our solution using Time Pooling Deep Recurrent Neural Network. The proposed method augments data using time pooling strategy and can overcome overfitting problems and model uncertainties of data more efficiently. Simulation and implementation results show that our method outperforms the existing algorithms in terms of RMSE and MAE metrics.
|Keywords||Load forecasting, Time pooling, Deep learning, Smart grids|
|Publisher||Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)|
|Digital Object Identifier (DOI)||https://doi.org/10.1109/EEEIC/ICPSEurope51590.2021.9584634|
|Web address (URL)||https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9584634|
|Accepted author manuscript|
File Access Level
|03 Nov 2021|
|Publication process dates|
|Deposited||04 Nov 2021|
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